"Disquiet in the archives" in THE CONVERSATION #archiving


Matt Finch
 

A nice piece from Australia's Stuart Kells in The Conversation this week, which may have some resonance for people working in KM too:


Given that collection and preservation decisions must often be made under the so-called "TUNA conditions" of turbulence, uncertainty, novelty, and ambiguity - and their value may only be revealed in hindsight - I take this as a good argument to build a foresight capacity into collections strategy.

Precisely when you can't see what lies ahead for sure, you can manufacture plausible future contexts as vantage points on the present. 

These can challenge current assumptions and help us make wiser decisions about what to collect, what to keep & how to keep it, and what its value might be as events unfold and circumstances change.

Complementing this is a nice Harvard working paper from Peter Scoblic on the idea that, when we can't decide confidently based on the models of the past, or make decisions by analogy to previous situations, we can manufacture plausible future scenarios to help guide us:


"[...T]reating the future as plural and less knowable can, in theory, make [knowledge!managers more sensitive to changes in the present, reduce overconfidence in specific courses of action, and render mental models more flexible, thereby improving adaptability to whatever future does manifest"

Happy weekend, all --



MATTHEW FINCH
Associate Fellow, Saïd Business School





Carol H. Tucker
 

AND this is why historians will tell you there is no such thing as an historical fact - it is all interpretation....


On Fri, Jan 13, 2023 at 11:28 AM Matt Finch <Matthew.Finch@...> wrote:
A nice piece from Australia's Stuart Kells in The Conversation this week, which may have some resonance for people working in KM too:


Given that collection and preservation decisions must often be made under the so-called "TUNA conditions" of turbulence, uncertainty, novelty, and ambiguity - and their value may only be revealed in hindsight - I take this as a good argument to build a foresight capacity into collections strategy.

Precisely when you can't see what lies ahead for sure, you can manufacture plausible future contexts as vantage points on the present. 

These can challenge current assumptions and help us make wiser decisions about what to collect, what to keep & how to keep it, and what its value might be as events unfold and circumstances change.

Complementing this is a nice Harvard working paper from Peter Scoblic on the idea that, when we can't decide confidently based on the models of the past, or make decisions by analogy to previous situations, we can manufacture plausible future scenarios to help guide us:


"[...T]reating the future as plural and less knowable can, in theory, make [knowledge!managers more sensitive to changes in the present, reduce overconfidence in specific courses of action, and render mental models more flexible, thereby improving adaptability to whatever future does manifest"

Happy weekend, all --



MATTHEW FINCH
Associate Fellow, Saïd Business School






--
Carol H. Tucker

"I only care about the words that flutter from your mind. They are the only thing you truly own. The only thing I will remember you by. I will not fall in love with your bones and skin. I will not fall in love with the places you have been. I will not fall in love with anything but the words that flutter from your Extraordinary Mind."
~ Andre Jordan


Dave Snowden
 

But there us a difference between a coherent interpretation and a conspiracy theory 





Prof Dave Snowden

Director & Founder - The Cynefin Centre 
CSO - The Cynefin Company
Social Media: snowded
dave.snowden@...
thecynefin.co



On 13 Jan 2023, at 16:58, Carol H. Tucker <beladona@...> wrote:

AND this is why historians will tell you there is no such thing as an historical fact - it is all interpretation....

On Fri, Jan 13, 2023 at 11:28 AM Matt Finch <Matthew.Finch@...> wrote:
A nice piece from Australia's Stuart Kells in The Conversation this week, which may have some resonance for people working in KM too:


Given that collection and preservation decisions must often be made under the so-called "TUNA conditions" of turbulence, uncertainty, novelty, and ambiguity - and their value may only be revealed in hindsight - I take this as a good argument to build a foresight capacity into collections strategy.

Precisely when you can't see what lies ahead for sure, you can manufacture plausible future contexts as vantage points on the present. 

These can challenge current assumptions and help us make wiser decisions about what to collect, what to keep & how to keep it, and what its value might be as events unfold and circumstances change.

Complementing this is a nice Harvard working paper from Peter Scoblic on the idea that, when we can't decide confidently based on the models of the past, or make decisions by analogy to previous situations, we can manufacture plausible future scenarios to help guide us:


"[...T]reating the future as plural and less knowable can, in theory, make [knowledge!managers more sensitive to changes in the present, reduce overconfidence in specific courses of action, and render mental models more flexible, thereby improving adaptability to whatever future does manifest"

Happy weekend, all --



MATTHEW FINCH
Associate Fellow, Saïd Business School








--
Carol H. Tucker

"I only care about the words that flutter from your mind. They are the only thing you truly own. The only thing I will remember you by. I will not fall in love with your bones and skin. I will not fall in love with the places you have been. I will not fall in love with anything but the words that flutter from your Extraordinary Mind."
~ Andre Jordan


Robert M. Taylor
 

Fascinating. On a more mundane level, I do tell people that, in many cases, you really don't know what will be useful in future. In the stable, predictable cases, yes; in many others, no. However, paradoxically, we don't want that to be an excuse to keep everything - not least because of the GHG footprint of this stuff, but also because simply retaining it is absolutely no guarantee it will ever be found used in future when its moment appears. Started a lot of thoughts!


Robert M. Taylor
 

Yes, agreed, the truth is not out there. I love paradox. I'm completely on the side of reason and progress, and science in the sense of the model that currently best explains the observations. But recognising this is provisional.